Here's the daily chart for today's TBT swing trade:
Note price broke through resistance today in the direction of the main uptrend. At the same time, RSI broke through bearish divergence resistance. Prices often accelerate upwards when RSI bear divergence lines fail.
Last week we saw price make a long term positive reversal with the RSI on the daily chart while the RSI made long term bullish divergence support (see the red lines). That would have been an excellent entry point, and supports the long term trend analysis for this trade.
Dialing down to the 30-minute chart, after seeing price break through an old failed support line on the 30-minute chart and the RSI break through bearish divergence resistance, I decided to stalk entry on the 5-minute chart:
I waited for the Force Index(2) to go negative on the 5-minute chart, and trailed a buy stop which got executed at $53.20:
It didn't take long for the trade to turn positive. I moved stops to break even with an hour left in the day. Now we're free-rolling.
I will trail a fairly loose stop and watch TBT closely for signs of trend exhaustion at or near 4 Average True Ranges from its 50EMA [Keltner Channel (50, 4, 25)] at which point I will take partial profits and tighten my trailing stop.
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