Kind Words from Terry Laundry, Founder of T Theory

"Parker has sent me what I consider to be the most important refinements to T Theory I have ever received from anyone in an e-mail . . . which he calls Tweaking the 13th Advance Decline T." September 29, 2010

"Parker has sent me a very interesting concept which is the NY Advance Decline line divided by the put-call ratio . . . What he's done is introduce the idea of sentiment." September 15, 2010

"Parker discovered the Money Flow Ts . . . This is something like the Holy Grail in T Theory. You are always looking for something that will help you refine the peak date." October 17, 201

"Money Flow Ts are probably the greatest new thing I have seen in 20 years in terms of time symmetries."
December 5, 2010.
Showing posts with label Standard Deviation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Standard Deviation. Show all posts

Thursday, September 3, 2009

$BMY

On Friday 8/28, a Morgan Stanley analyst downgraded Bristol Myers from equal-weight to overweight, and share prices fell 3.92 standard deviations (vs previous 20-days).

There was no bad news. The analyst simply thought the drugmaker's stock was trading at a premium price after recent gains.

To put that price drop into perspective, a 4 standard deviation price move should normally happen once every ~1000 trading years.

Looking at the chart, BMY broke out of a $18.75-$20.50 three month trading range in July, climbing to $23 at the end of August before the Morgan Stanley report.

Now, BMY has fallen back to $21.50 where a former top (and the 50-day EMA at 21.37) is serving as support. The RSI is 45, and still trading in the 40-80 uptrend range. Further, the RSI has made an intermediate positive reversal with the July 20 low -- the price is higher despite a lower RSI value.

I wouldn't be at all surprised to see BMY at $25+ by or before October.