In search of high R-multiples while keeping losses small.
Kind Words from Terry Laundry, Founder of T Theory
"Parker has sent me what I consider to be the most important refinements to T Theory I have ever received from anyone in an e-mail . . . which he calls Tweaking the 13th Advance Decline T." September 29, 2010
"Parker has sent me a very interesting concept which is the NY Advance Decline line divided by the put-call ratio . . . What he's done is introduce the idea of sentiment." September 15, 2010
"Parker discovered the Money Flow Ts . . . This is something like the Holy Grail in T Theory. You are always looking for something that will help you refine the peak date." October 17, 201 "Money Flow Ts are probably the greatest new thing I have seen in 20 years in terms of time symmetries." December 5, 2010.
This video discusses the phenomenon of the Money Flow Index peaking in the middle of a strongly trending move, then the Money Flow Index diverging from price. Note that you don't always find this divergence in every strong move. Further, even when you do, the Money Flow Index peak does not always split the move exactly in half. But it happens often enough that I pay attention to it.
This video shows how each successive low in the VIX:VXV ratio coincides with an important top shortly thereafter. The VIX measures 1-month implied volatility on S&P options, while VXV measures 3-month implied volatility. Today, the ratio spiked down to 0.79, a 3-year low. What this means is that the options market participants are complacent about short term implied volatility. Usually, complacency is a good recipe for a surprise.