Kind Words from Terry Laundry, Founder of T Theory

"Parker has sent me what I consider to be the most important refinements to T Theory I have ever received from anyone in an e-mail . . . which he calls Tweaking the 13th Advance Decline T." September 29, 2010

"Parker has sent me a very interesting concept which is the NY Advance Decline line divided by the put-call ratio . . . What he's done is introduce the idea of sentiment." September 15, 2010

"Parker discovered the Money Flow Ts . . . This is something like the Holy Grail in T Theory. You are always looking for something that will help you refine the peak date." October 17, 201

"Money Flow Ts are probably the greatest new thing I have seen in 20 years in terms of time symmetries."
December 5, 2010.

Thursday, July 23, 2009

$TBT Trade in Multiple Time Frames

Here's the daily chart for today's TBT swing trade:

Note price broke through resistance today in the direction of the main uptrend. At the same time, RSI broke through bearish divergence resistance. Prices often accelerate upwards when RSI bear divergence lines fail.

Last week we saw price make a long term positive reversal with the RSI on the daily chart while the RSI made long term bullish divergence support (see the red lines). That would have been an excellent entry point, and supports the long term trend analysis for this trade.

Dialing down to the 30-minute chart, after seeing price break through an old failed support line on the 30-minute chart and the RSI break through bearish divergence resistance, I decided to stalk entry on the 5-minute chart:


I waited for the Force Index(2) to go negative on the 5-minute chart, and trailed a buy stop which got executed at $53.20:

It didn't take long for the trade to turn positive. I moved stops to break even with an hour left in the day. Now we're free-rolling.

I will trail a fairly loose stop and watch TBT closely for signs of trend exhaustion at or near 4 Average True Ranges from its 50EMA [Keltner Channel (50, 4, 25)] at which point I will take partial profits and tighten my trailing stop.

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