Kind Words from Terry Laundry, Founder of T Theory

"Parker has sent me what I consider to be the most important refinements to T Theory I have ever received from anyone in an e-mail . . . which he calls Tweaking the 13th Advance Decline T." September 29, 2010

"Parker has sent me a very interesting concept which is the NY Advance Decline line divided by the put-call ratio . . . What he's done is introduce the idea of sentiment." September 15, 2010

"Parker discovered the Money Flow Ts . . . This is something like the Holy Grail in T Theory. You are always looking for something that will help you refine the peak date." October 17, 201

"Money Flow Ts are probably the greatest new thing I have seen in 20 years in terms of time symmetries."
December 5, 2010.

Monday, November 1, 2010

$$ Not all POMOs are Created Equal

On October 13, the FOMC announced their POMO schedule for the next four weeks:  nine sessions totaling an estimated $32B in treasury purchases.  Three sessions remain:

Monday, November 1
Thursday, November 4
Monday, November 8

While we don't know the size of each POMO beforehand, the Fed does release historical data on their operations.  So we know that the Fed has purchased slightly less than ~$18B in treasuries during the first six POMOs announced on October 13 (about ~$3B per).  Which means these last 3 POMOs should be significantly larger than the first six, accounting for ~$14B total with a mean of ~$4.7B per POMO. 

The Fed will announce their next POMO schedule on Wednesday, November 10.

2 comments:

  1. Parker,

    is it possible the market continues to push higher to the 2nd week of nov? with no near term pullback?

    Jesse

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  2. Good info.

    It's a bit ironic (and surprising) that this may be the first POMO in a while where we close lower! Big boys using early morning highs for distribution in anticipation of the market tanking after Fedspeak on Wednesday?

    ReplyDelete