Kind Words from Terry Laundry, Founder of T Theory

"Parker has sent me what I consider to be the most important refinements to T Theory I have ever received from anyone in an e-mail . . . which he calls Tweaking the 13th Advance Decline T." September 29, 2010

"Parker has sent me a very interesting concept which is the NY Advance Decline line divided by the put-call ratio . . . What he's done is introduce the idea of sentiment." September 15, 2010

"Parker discovered the Money Flow Ts . . . This is something like the Holy Grail in T Theory. You are always looking for something that will help you refine the peak date." October 17, 201

"Money Flow Ts are probably the greatest new thing I have seen in 20 years in terms of time symmetries."
December 5, 2010.

Monday, May 23, 2011

$$ SLV Range Contraction

SLV's VWAP for five of the last seven days including the last four are contained within the range of $34.08 to $34.22:

5/13 = 34.15
5/16 = 33.62
5/17 = 32.69
5/18 = 34.22
5/19 = 34.17
5/20 = 34.08
5/23 = 34.14

Volume has been elevated recently, so that's a couple hundred million shares traded at an average price of ~$34.15 the last four days.

To me, this is classic range contraction which usually is a prelude to range expansion, i.e., a big price move.  While I would not be surprised to see SLV push upwards from here into the high 30s/low 40s, it could break either way.  

A straddle might be profitable, but the premiums are still pretty high after the recent silver crash due to increased implied volatility.  Today you could have bought a June 34 call and a June 34 put for ~$3.25 total, so you profit if SLV reaches higher than $37.25 or lower than $30.75 between now and June 17.

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